Article
How Confident Should You Be?
Confidence language, what it should be based on, and how to say what you believe in a way that can be checked later.
Reports and articles
Articles
Explainers that go further than a lesson but stop short of a full report. Each one carries author, review, and date information, and cites its sources by number.
Articles address questions that do not fit a single lesson: how a change in technology alters an existing habit, how a reasoning procedure works in practice, how to say what you believe in a way someone can check.
Where an article makes a claim that depends on external evidence, it carries a numbered citation and a matching entry in the references list at the foot of the page. Where a page relies only on constructed examples and standard reasoning, it says so rather than adding citations for appearance.
For longer structured analysis with stated methods and limitations, seereports. For instructional material, seelessons.
Articles published so far
Showing all 3 items.
Article
What AI-Generated Content Changes
Which verification habits still work when text, images, and audio can be produced at near-zero cost, and which ones quietly stopped working.
Article
What Else Could Explain This?
A structured way to generate alternative explanations before settling on one, adapted from analysis of competing hypotheses for everyday use.
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